Wednesday, September 24, 2014

The Africanization of France: Medical data suggests one-third French births are non-White by Guillaume Durocher

I take bold claims from alternative media with a grain of salt. So when the popular French racialist blog Fdesouche (short for “ethnic French”) claimed that around 34.44% of newborns in France in 2012 were non-White, I did not think much of it, supposing this figure was much too high to be realistic. 
I decided to reconsider however when I came across a shockingly bad article inLe Monde supposingly “debunking” Fdesouche’s claim under the patronizing title “Sickle-cell anemia, the genetic disease which is exciting the far-right.” The “rebuttal” is a long collection of sophistic arguments and non-sequiturs*, none of which address Fdesouche’s data purporting to show that demographic change and de-Europeanization in France are rapidly occurring on a massive scale, what the French call le Grand Remplacement or “the Great Displacement.” 
Admittedly, it is very hard to get a handle on the rate of demographic change in France given the lack of official ethnic statistics (I have attempted to provide some sense of the ethnic situation in France with statistics on first- and second-generation immigrantswe know that while ethnic Europeans rapidly converge economically/educationally to the French average, Blacks and Maghrebis do not, and that first-generation North Africans have a relatively high birth rate). We know that Pew forecasts that the United States will have a non-White majority by the 2040s and an Oxford professor has estimated that native Britons will become a minority in their own country by the 2060s. Very obviously France, with a comparable immigration history since World War II, could be on a similar timeline. 
Fdesouche gets around the lack of ethnic data by using medical data on the screening of sickle-cell disease among newborns from the French High Authority for Health (HAS). Because of the cost of screening, only newborns from (overwhelmingly non-White) regions and ethnic backgrounds at risk of sickle-cell are screened. Fdesouche points to the fact that the number of screened newborns has increased from 27% in 2006 to 34.44% in 2012. 
The HAS indicates that newborns are only screened for sickle-cell disease based on geographic origin, including all individuals originally from (I quote):
  • The overseas French departments of the Antilles, Guyana, Reunion or Mayotte.
  • All sub-Saharan African countries and Cape Verde
  • South America (Brazil), Blacks from North America
  • India, Indian Ocean, Madagascar, Mauritius, Comoros
  • North Africa: Algeria, Tunisia, Morocco
  • Southern Italy, Sicily, Greece, Turkey
  • Middle East: Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Oman 
Needless to say, the babies that are screened are then overwhelmingly non-White and almost certainly made up largely of Blacks and Arabs. 
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